Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $114.65
- Potential profit
- $104.91
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$7.79
Polymarket Trader
Hermitsupreme
0x3c5adffcb68ba8cc3fa0f138d9d9a9ae76a8022d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.43
- Realized PnL
- $932.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $84.11
- Potential profit
- $80.46
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $48.1
- Potential profit
- $43.29
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $12.86
- Potential payout
- $27.96
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $25.66
- Potential profit
- $22.2
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $7.16
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.7
- Potential profit
- $20.7
- User PnL
- -$11.86
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.5
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $6.29
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.67
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $5.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.79
Jazz position
Warriors vs. Jazz
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.29
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.29
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.63
No position
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.66
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65
9z position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.94
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.92
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $9.48
UCF Knights position
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 75% 8.61 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 13% 47.51 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19.8% 16.48 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No 80% 6.2 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No 25% 8.51 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 57% 8.52 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 85.7% 5.82 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 40% 6.03 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20% 16.48 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No 81% 6.21 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No 27% 8.52 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 85.8% 5.83 shares