Polymarket Trader

ffrance

0x3c716972024f9222eeee9f42049046c69c5c48ed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.03K
Realized PnL: $1.1K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $6.16K
Potential payout: $6.29K
Potential profit: $122.57
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $84.86

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $230.79
Potential payout: $4.31K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $161.68
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$88.31

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $195
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $280.54
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $30.54

No position

Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $466.67
Potential profit: $466.67
User PnL: -$14

No position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.4
Potential profit: $268.4
User PnL: -$26.84

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.76
Potential profit: $248.76
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.69
Potential profit: $82.69
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.19
Potential profit: $77.19
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Manchester United vs. Brighton end in a draw?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.51
Potential profit: $69.51
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.01
Potential profit: $69.01
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Wolves win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.9

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.99

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.79

Yes position

Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.26

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

No position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

No position

Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.66

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$34.25

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$36.36

Yes position

Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51.59

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$59.48

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$75.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 4,313.85 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.2% 2,717.39 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.5% 1,428.57 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.6% 1,420.45 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.8% 1,025 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.7% 7,310.62 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 1,428.57 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 9% 1,818.18 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 78.5% 1,768.44 shares
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Yes 29.6% 674.59 shares
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 89% 284.15 shares
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 11% 1,666.66 shares