Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $866.11
- Potential payout
- $25.85K
- Potential profit
- $24.99K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$505.83
Polymarket Trader
BoldBeardedBear
0x3c75620b504ab040fb7a1618063e2cd7f2006094
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $909.15
- Realized PnL
- $194.36
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $43.04
- Potential payout
- $17.22K
- Potential profit
- $17.17K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $187.61
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.81
Yes position
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.75
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.37
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.67
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $11.37
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.51
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.22
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$114.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.2% 11,403.96 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.3% 41,153.36 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.5% 1,041.09 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.7% 205 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.8% 62.5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.8% 84.73 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.9% 114.62 shares
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.5% 1,391 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 1.4% 29.29 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 23% 80.05 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 23% 11 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 23% 225 shares