No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.74K
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $11.26
- User PnL
- $83.08
Polymarket Trader
Michael5289
0x3c760e45728e0cb4b68c52980a070314b95fd4ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.41K
- Realized PnL
- $19.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- User PnL
- $72.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $767.3
- Potential profit
- $767.3
- User PnL
- -$16.66
Y
Yes position
Raja Club Athletic to score first vs. RCA Zemamra?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $549.37
- Potential payout
- $549.64
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $477.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $67.5
No position
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $391.15
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $88.85
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $6.65
Y
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $437.04
- Potential payout
- $441.45
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.2
N
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 17?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $437.7
- Potential payout
- $440.12
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $416.38
- Potential payout
- $418.68
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- User PnL
- $72.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.45
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $27.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $26.8
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $255.93
- Potential payout
- $289.19
- Potential profit
- $33.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $72.42
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $194.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $64.3
No position
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $183.26
- Potential payout
- $183.99
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- User PnL
- $31.02
Yes position
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172
- Potential profit
- $172
- User PnL
- -$112.52
No position
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $122.81
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $122.12
- Potential payout
- $122.61
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $4.66
Yes position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $80.14
- Potential payout
- $100.17
- Potential profit
- $20.03
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $76.79
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $20.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $66.24
- Potential payout
- $67.11
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $54.28
- Potential payout
- $66.19
- Potential profit
- $11.91
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
James Comey in jail by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $65.12
- Potential payout
- $65.81
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.66
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $57.42
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
James Comey arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
North Korea missile launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.2
Yes position
Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $932.42
Yes position
1,400+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.7
No position
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.76
Yes position
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.33
No position
Minnesota suspect Boelter still on the run Tuesday?
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.8
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.21
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.45
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.83
Yes position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.38
Yes position
1,475+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.57
No position
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.56
No position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.65
Yes position
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.71
Yes position
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.89
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.6
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.11
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $246.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?Yes 98.7% 50 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 99% 120 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 98% 50 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 97% 55.87 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 96% 46 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 95% 40 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 94% 16.66 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 92% 12.5 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 91% 10.01 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 18?Yes 88.9% 90.41 shares
- Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Yes 95% 10 shares
- Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Yes 93% 12.86 shares