Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $7.84K
- Potential payout
- $38.9K
- Potential profit
- $31.06K
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$11.61K
Polymarket Trader
MaxShorter
0x3c7bc679e0328ad1df10fd48830fe3d05a035485
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.12K
- Realized PnL
- $19.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $31.06K
- Potential payout
- $38.9K
- Potential profit
- $7.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $11.61K
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $627
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $37.37K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $172.33
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $283.9
- Potential payout
- $33.4K
- Potential profit
- $33.12K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$67.07
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $23.17K
- Potential profit
- $20.98K
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $10.28K
- Potential profit
- $8.99K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $246.3
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $4.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $3.92K
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $206.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $858.92
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $74.55
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$116
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $525.78
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $809.07
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $647.43
- Potential profit
- $647.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $600.01
- User PnL
- -$62.92
Yes position
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $237.31
- Potential payout
- $325.08
- Potential profit
- $87.77
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $109.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.71
- Potential profit
- $300.71
- User PnL
- -$20.98
No position
Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.99
- Potential profit
- $279.99
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $277.46
- Potential profit
- $277.19
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $24.92
- Potential payout
- $214.81
- Potential profit
- $189.9
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $95.8
- Potential payout
- $206.02
- Potential profit
- $110.22
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $17.69
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.85
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $803.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.72
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $594.19
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $588.68
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $545.43
Yes position
Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $431.25
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $418.92
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $387.37
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $370.32
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $297.34
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.81
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.41
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $240.1
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $239.86
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $209
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 35.8% 278.94 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 19% 500 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 34% 822.01 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 53% 30 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 41.5% 192.15 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 30.4% 37.49 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 10 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 14% 200 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 2,700 shares
- Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 3.3% 190 shares
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.5% 3,400 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 54.4% 400 shares