No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $201.77K
- Potential payout
- $216.37K
- Potential profit
- $14.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $12.98K
Polymarket Trader
momom
0x3c8ac6a99d9c7a41860aec2ae7520c7aaa68b45a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $550.34K
- Realized PnL
- $102.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $135.61K
- Potential payout
- $149.84K
- Potential profit
- $14.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $306.73
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $63.35K
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $6.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.55K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $53.3K
- Potential payout
- $60.23K
- Potential profit
- $6.93K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.62K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $41.97K
- Potential payout
- $45.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $24.94K
- Potential payout
- $26.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.98K
- Potential payout
- $20.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $8.41K
- Potential payout
- $8.48K
- Potential profit
- $67.81
- User PnL
- $423.37
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $6.72
- User PnL
- $19.96
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $802.88
- Potential payout
- $806.51
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- User PnL
- $39.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.71K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.59K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95K
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
No position
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
UK civil war in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.07
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $779.7
No position
Maduro out before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.85
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.63
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.56
No position
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.99
No position
Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.8
No position
Will $USDT depeg by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.03
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.5% 183.76 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 97.9% 276.81 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 86.4% 5,009.62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 5,000 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 86.3% 9,912.05 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 10,000 shares
- Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No 95.9% 52.15 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 97.7% 1,038.93 shares
- Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No 96.7% 127.04 shares
- Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No 96.4% 50.53 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 85% 8,218.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.8% 7,000 shares