Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $23.02K
- Potential profit
- $21.91K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $99.29
Polymarket Trader
infinitevanilla
0x3c9a09d3a64bd00b2d1807104ab146c5395f6d6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.12K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.65K
- Win rate
- 26.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$70
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.27
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.91
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.05
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$41.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$130
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$240.67
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.3% 20,118.47 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5% 2,903.52 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.5% 589.09 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 10% 700 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 65% 27.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 61.1% 84.41 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 74% 27.03 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.2% 10,748.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 77% 84.42 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 57.9% 109.31 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 59.5% 109.32 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 98.5% 61.92 shares