Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$16
Polymarket Trader
Gilbertr
0x3caff353d513eb8dd0453c565c33c6ded7bae74e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.72
- Realized PnL
- $224.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $77.56
- Potential payout
- $88.64
- Potential profit
- $11.08
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.42
- Potential profit
- $24.42
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.37
- Potential profit
- $22.37
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $15.17
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.19
- Potential profit
- $15.19
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.7
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- User PnL
- -$5.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
No position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?No 47% 6.38 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 88.64 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 76% 22.37 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95% 15.79 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No 98.9% 27.3 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?No 89.7% 18.72 shares
- Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes 89% 23.6 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 88.8% 36.04 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No 86% 24.42 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 14.5% 110 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?No 2.8% 34.24 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 51% 17.07 shares