Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
thenerdaiguy
0x3cb07bc178d4c63b9db9a6709fdd0d4b979ebfbf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Aryna Sabalenka position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.46
- Potential profit
- $909.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Flavio Cobolli position
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800.11
- Potential profit
- $800.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $774.18
- Potential profit
- $774.18
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $739.01
- Potential profit
- $739.01
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700.71
- Potential profit
- $700.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $680.46
- Potential profit
- $680.46
- User PnL
- -$10.25
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $679.41
- Potential profit
- $679.41
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $605.33
- Potential profit
- $605.33
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C or below on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $587.37
- Potential profit
- $587.37
- User PnL
- -$5
Raptors position
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $573.8
- Potential profit
- $573.8
- User PnL
- -$274.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $570.11
- Potential profit
- $570.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.55
- Potential profit
- $555.55
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $547.87
- Potential profit
- $547.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $542.96
- Potential profit
- $542.96
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $542.87
- Potential profit
- $542.87
- User PnL
- -$5
New York Mets position
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.21
- Potential profit
- $436.21
- User PnL
- -$59.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.48
Houston Astros position
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.15
Knicks position
Knicks vs. 76ers
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.08
HANJIN BRION position
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.49
Pistons position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.18
Cleveland Guardians position
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.29
KT Rolster position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.3
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.48
BNK FEARX position
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.27
paiN position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.78
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.52
Houston Astros position
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.07
GIANTX position
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.89
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.07
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.88
BNK FEARX position
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.74
Baltimore Orioles position
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.85
Minnesota Twins position
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.59
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.55
BNK FEARX position
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.92
Chicago White Sox position
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.85
Kansas City Royals position
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 29?Yes 23% 43.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 28?Yes 7% 71.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 28?No 69% 14.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 28?Yes 13.9% 71.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 28?Yes 50% 18.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 28?Yes 15% 66.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 28?Yes 10.5% 69.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 28?Yes 14.3% 69.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?Yes 31.5% 51.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?Yes 30.6% 27.02 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 99.9% 16.39 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 16.39 shares