Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $478.79
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $733.33
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $78.79
Polymarket Trader
Thewindblows
0x3cbd026afe03f5ace408158254fcd1377359d7a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $754.65
- Realized PnL
- $2.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.06
- Potential profit
- $312.06
- User PnL
- -$82.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $18.74
- Potential payout
- $288.35
- Potential profit
- $269.61
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $148.61
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $129.17
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $43.8
- Potential payout
- $252.59
- Potential profit
- $208.79
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- -$56.2
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $161.29
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.01
- Potential profit
- $125.01
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.12
- Potential profit
- $111.12
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $37.06
- Potential payout
- $103.09
- Potential profit
- $66.03
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $17.06
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $19.63
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $54.44
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $8.01
- Potential payout
- $47.85
- Potential profit
- $39.83
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.24
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.48
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.51
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.54
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.68
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.97
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.14
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.78
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.56
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.64
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.22
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.41
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.93
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 30% 133.33 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 53% 188.68 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 7% 285.71 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 69% 72.46 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 54% 277.78 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 1% 111.11 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 94% 235.29 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 5% 122.37 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 13% 76.92 shares