Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $22.96
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Polymarket Trader
Nathaniellec
0x3ccf6bf40dc6d6e762cda39aecefccec06838ea1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.97
- Realized PnL
- $103.59
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.48
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.8% 22.96 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 218.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 218.31 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 70.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 70.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp 51% 98.04 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes 78% 139.65 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes 71.6% 139.66 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 84.1% 124.72 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 88% 124.73 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 85.1% 99.03 shares