No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $36.32K
- Potential payout
- $36.38K
- Potential profit
- $54.57
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Polymarket Trader
RLWR
0x3cd07eb2e713aa6f2e0567a63d586229699964df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.32K
- Realized PnL
- $7.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.72
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $804.86
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.58
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.21
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.86
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.06
Yes position
Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
No position
Doge ETF approved in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.06
No position
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.83
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.03
No position
US civil war in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.76
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.46
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.17
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
Yes position
Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.03
Yes position
Chris Wright confirmed as Secretary of Energy?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
No position
Solana ETF approved in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Doug Burgum confirmed as Secretary of the Interior?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 95% 36,378.86 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 56% 1,750 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 58% 83 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 8.3% 100 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 97.4% 2,937.5 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 51% 40 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Trump out as President in 2025?No 98.7% 1,957.8 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No 94.3% 20 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?No 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?Sliwa 99.9% 513.33 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No 94.4% 223.68 shares