No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $203.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $46.88
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $78.13
Polymarket Trader
SolTerraLuna
0x3cd2bccc76e77916da8350289a456c75d239c545
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $789.41
- Realized PnL
- $29.3
- Win rate
- 34.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $46.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $203.13
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$78.13
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $198.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $51.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $73.75
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $51.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $198.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$73.75
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.9%
- Current value
- $134.74
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $115.25
- Multiplier
- 1.86x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $96.87
- Potential payout
- $168.47
- Potential profit
- $71.6
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $12.64
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $44.43
- Potential payout
- $81.52
- Potential profit
- $37.09
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.01
- Potential profit
- $32.01
- User PnL
- -$15.68
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.9%
- Current value
- $13.37
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $28.64
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or below on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 29?Yes 62% 19.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?No 98.1% 19.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?No 44% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 29?No 45% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or below on June 29?No 28% 64.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 30?No 37% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 29?Yes 46% 19.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 29?No 59% 24.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?No 55.4% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?No 41% 8.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?Yes 30% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 28?No 49% 20 shares