Polymarket Trader

IlyaFed

0x3ce04b70463e81f873524041cfaed903d1d982d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.88
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $111.5
Potential profit: $110.5
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $105.56
Potential profit: $101.7
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $25.96
Potential payout: $103.83
Potential profit: $77.88
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $55.31
Potential payout: $102.43
Potential profit: $47.12
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $1.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 52.8% 102.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 30% 103.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 2.6% 105.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 111.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares

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