Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $42.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Polymarket Trader
remremrem
0x3cec668902a9dd0670ba2a229b2e0a925c5137ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.23K
- Realized PnL
- $5.65K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $74
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $16.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $702.42
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.72
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.07
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.25
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.55
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.66
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.7
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.71
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.12
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 789.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 307.5 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.2% 240 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 73% 4.22 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 94.9% 620 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 75% 6.17 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 91.2% 393.8 shares