Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Choke" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $15.35
- Potential payout
- $30.4
- Potential profit
- $15.05
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Polymarket Trader
Kade384897
0x3cfda9c54252469e2ff2552ab22ea7dd61d75d35
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.71
- Realized PnL
- -$5.23
- Win rate
- 38.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $18.43
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Y
Yes position
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $13.2
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
N
No position
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $8.69
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Y
Yes position
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$19.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?Yes 24.5% 51.6 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?No 52% 6.23 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?No 54.6% 39.66 shares
- Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B?Yes 84% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?No 80% 22.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 10?Yes 32.6% 1.76 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 12?No 89% 1.23 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 12?No 87.7% 52.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?Yes 26% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?Yes 44% 5.21 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.6% 5 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.7% 5 shares