No position
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.46
- Potential profit
- $135.46
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Polymarket Trader
0x3d05...acde
0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $22.89
- Realized PnL
- $98.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.16
- Potential profit
- $129.16
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $18.01
- Potential payout
- $93.34
- Potential profit
- $75.33
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- $16.61
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.5
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- User PnL
- -$1.53
No position
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.65
- Potential profit
- $61.65
- User PnL
- -$1.48
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.39
- Potential profit
- $61.39
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.2
- Potential profit
- $61.2
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$4
Worcestershire position
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.4
- Potential profit
- $56.4
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.49
- Potential profit
- $54.49
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $48.19
- Potential profit
- $48.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
N
No position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.34
- Potential profit
- $43.34
- User PnL
- -$1.43
No position
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.64
- Potential profit
- $39.64
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.19
- Potential profit
- $38.19
- User PnL
- -$3.15
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $38
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $36.5
- Potential profit
- $35.81
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $34.14
- Potential profit
- $32.44
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.56
- Potential profit
- $33.56
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.8
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- User PnL
- -$1.54
No position
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.2
- Potential profit
- $30.2
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $25.84
- Potential profit
- $23.39
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.83
- Potential profit
- $25.83
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.82
- Potential profit
- $25.82
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.16
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Y
Yes position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $5.66
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.21
N
No position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.12
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $2.82
Y
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $2.26
N
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?No 1.7% 8.6 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2% 9.06 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 25.4% 6.02 shares
- Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 4% 13.51 shares
- Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 1% 6.01 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 30.59 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No 11% 11 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?No 35% 5 shares
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Yes 10% 5.35 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.5% 9.22 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 7% 8.94 shares
- Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No 13% 6.38 shares