Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $45K
- User PnL
- -$180
Polymarket Trader
wagmi420
0x3d1487b9a384635dcd7e438eb183e95351b5ee01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.44K
- Realized PnL
- $87.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.08K
- Potential profit
- $22.08K
- User PnL
- -$11.04K
Lucknow Super Giants position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$5K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.73K
- Potential profit
- $6.73K
- User PnL
- -$499.41
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.64K
- Potential profit
- $5.64K
- User PnL
- -$646.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.32K
- Potential profit
- $4.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.74K
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $22
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$191.86
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $34.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$94.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $2.87K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $133.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $39.5
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- User PnL
- -$125.07
Yes position
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$67.92
Yes position
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$60.25
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $60.8
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $63.47
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$70.83
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$19.03
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$28.63
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $326
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 6.13x
- User PnL
- $262
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$5
Punjab Kings position
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Royal Challengers Bengaluru position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$205.33
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- User PnL
- $4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Chennai Super Kings position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02K
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12K
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63K
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76K
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93K
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Lucknow Super Giants position
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Royal Challengers Bengaluru position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Punjab Kings position
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980.11
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $860.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 85% 550 shares
- Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No 99.7% 106.52 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 200 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.6% 200 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.6% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.8% 1,000 shares
- US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No 94% 59.91 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 94.3% 180.48 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 80.81 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No 93.4% 63.05 shares
- US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 300 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 82% 50 shares