Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $3.84K
- Potential payout
- $134.77K
- Potential profit
- $130.93K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $825.31
Polymarket Trader
MyDadsMoney
0x3d189c88157a11cb3fd597a44b262a8e37021160
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.53K
- Realized PnL
- $65.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $74.81K
- Potential payout
- $75K
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- User PnL
- $4.81K
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $50.4K
- Potential profit
- $48.96K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $126
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.44K
- Potential profit
- $48.44K
- User PnL
- -$35.04K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $41.83K
- Potential payout
- $41.98K
- Potential profit
- $146.92
- User PnL
- $5.12K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.8K
- Potential profit
- $39.8K
- User PnL
- -$2.43K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.34K
- Potential profit
- $30.34K
- User PnL
- -$21.28K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.82K
- Potential profit
- $25.82K
- User PnL
- -$3.1K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24K
- Potential profit
- $24K
- User PnL
- -$10.83K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.5K
- Potential profit
- $20.5K
- User PnL
- -$17.84K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$17.8K
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $40.83
- Potential payout
- $16.33K
- Potential profit
- $16.29K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.73K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.97K
- Potential profit
- $14.97K
- User PnL
- -$4.11K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.9K
- Potential profit
- $12.9K
- User PnL
- -$5.69K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.16K
- Potential profit
- $11.16K
- User PnL
- -$10.28K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.93K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$2.88K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $5.4K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $96.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $673.75
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $5.48K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- User PnL
- $305.25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06K
- Potential profit
- $4.06K
- User PnL
- -$486.59
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $380
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $3.22K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $780
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$757.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.85K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.45
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $927.52
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.02
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $755
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.58
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.26
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 35.6% 3,920.46 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No 96.6% 28,627.02 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No 73% 241.89 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No 36% 97.44 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No 36% 584.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No 95.9% 4,679.04 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 22% 138.62 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.3% 17,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 12% 25,821 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.7% 160.87 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 90% 7,372.1 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 90% 200 shares