Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.21K
- Potential profit
- $199.21K
- User PnL
- -$199.21
Polymarket Trader
XP75
0x3d1eb7f95941401a058b3bdab4b86ada72b81e21
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $790.75
- Realized PnL
- $1.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.11K
- Potential profit
- $10.11K
- User PnL
- -$109.99
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- User PnL
- -$183
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$7.46
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$264.99
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Lee Jin-sook win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $939.49
- Potential profit
- $939.49
- User PnL
- -$402.6
Yes position
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $762.23
- Potential profit
- $762.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $645.68
- Potential profit
- $645.68
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $487.21
- Potential profit
- $487.21
- User PnL
- -$331
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $195.85
- Potential payout
- $329.16
- Potential profit
- $133.31
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$26.15
Yes position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $197.93
- Potential payout
- $265.68
- Potential profit
- $67.75
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $231.99
- Potential payout
- $243.05
- Potential profit
- $11.06
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $31.99
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.87
- Potential profit
- $196.87
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $164.47
- Potential payout
- $179.75
- Potential profit
- $15.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $14.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.36
- Potential profit
- $165.36
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.18
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $95.85
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.61
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.08
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.95
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.77
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.08
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.23
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $22.06
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.83
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.71
Yes position
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.86
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.53
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Yes position
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.64
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 61% 65.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 29% 17.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 77% 129.87 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 72% 83.33 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 87.7% 114.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 108.7 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 212.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 47% 212.77 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares