Polymarket Trader

0x3d2b7d8690Df75c3F626451EAAE4B6654fEbD838-1722097510950

0x3d2b7d8690df75c3f626451eaae4b6654febd838

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.51
Realized PnL: $10.8
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Blue Jackets position

Panthers vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Hawks position

Magic vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Magic

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Mavericks position

Jazz vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Clippers

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Nuggets position

Lakers vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Indiana position

Miami vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.16

Pistons position

Pacers vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 58% 1.72 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 57% 1.47 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 81% 1.42 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals

Delhi Capitals 56% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 68% 1.47 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Yes 9.1% 4.54 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Yes 30.5% 2.64 shares
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama Crimson Tide 50% 1.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Up 26% 3.81 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Yes 37.8% 2.65 shares