Bears position
Bears vs. Ravens
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $6.83K
- User PnL
- -$2.87K
Polymarket Trader
xbfshrii
0x3d32185990ac62b68ff1c852f6dd2b1b51924301
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.41
- Realized PnL
- $131.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Pacers position
Spurs vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $585.67
- Potential profit
- $585.67
- User PnL
- -$445.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $151.41
- Potential payout
- $158.54
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 106.8 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 106.8 shares
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)Gen.G 79% 64.56 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?No 95.4% 32.14 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes 98.3% 18.03 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No 97.8% 25.24 shares
- Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?No 99% 42.4 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No 97.7% 41.98 shares
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes 93.5% 41.02 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No 97% 38.34 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2800 on July 18?No 99.9% 37.2 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 98.5% 37.05 shares