badpiterburg

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.65
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $276.22
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $269.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $228.39
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $8.69
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $211.31
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $8.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $191.1
Potential profit: $190.62
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $156.72
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.95
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $12.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 26.3%
Current value: $17.06
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $47.94
Multiplier: 3.81x
User PnL: $16.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.07
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.95
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $49.5
Potential profit: $49.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.96
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.84
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.97
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.69
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 33.6%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.97
Multiplier: 2.98x
User PnL: $4.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.61

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?