Polymarket Trader

Bierobeagle

0x3d4beb79e4afa9a880c503497c95b4ead7244024

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.97
Realized PnL: $183.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.62
Potential profit: $245.62
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $670?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$5.2

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.6
Potential profit: $31.6
User PnL: -$4.99

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.6
Potential profit: $29.6
User PnL: -$9.77

ThunderTalk Gaming position

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.6
Potential profit: $26.6
User PnL: -$7.18

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.3
Potential profit: $26.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $12.48
Potential payout: $21.7
Potential profit: $9.22
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.3
Potential profit: $20.3
User PnL: -$6.5

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.2
Potential profit: $19.2
User PnL: -$4.99

No position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.2
Potential profit: $19.2
User PnL: -$4.99

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.69
Potential profit: $18.69
User PnL: -$11.72

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$5

South America Rejects position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.35
Potential profit: $16.35
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $16.1
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $15.3
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.29

1win position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Aurora position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.6
Potential profit: $11.6
User PnL: -$4.99

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.4
Potential profit: $11.4
User PnL: -$5.02

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.4
Potential profit: $11.4
User PnL: -$6.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

No position

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.71

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.31

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

No position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

No position

Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Yes 64% 15.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Yes 30% 21.7 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?

Yes 31% 16.1 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5

Over 75% 6.7 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 5.9 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 59% 8.69 shares
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?

Yes 80% 6.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 66% 9.8 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 26% 19.2 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.2% 6 shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

9z 39% 12.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 66.6% 9.8 shares