ckmntr

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.4
Potential profit: $55.4
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.91
Potential profit: $53.91
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.89
Potential profit: $49.89
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $46
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $46
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $35.33
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $4.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.17
Potential profit: $41.17
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $40.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $32.87
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $35.76
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.58
Potential payout: $37.69
Potential profit: $34.11
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.1
Potential profit: $37.1
User PnL: -$4.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 19?