Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.29K
- Potential payout
- $95.41K
- Potential profit
- $92.12K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Polymarket Trader
stephenlyk1
0x3d670d083c0f940a42ec9e75d4cf80f9ede77dac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.29K
- Realized PnL
- $840.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $86K
- Potential profit
- $84.49K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$103.97
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $912.98
- Potential payout
- $34.45K
- Potential profit
- $33.54K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$7.55
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $942.12
- Potential payout
- $8.93K
- Potential profit
- $7.99K
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$66.98
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $641.38
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.85K
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $999.61
- Potential payout
- $6.78K
- Potential profit
- $5.78K
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $437.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$400
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$400
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$400
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.66
- Potential profit
- $689.66
- User PnL
- -$200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.96
- Potential profit
- $558.96
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $451.24
- Potential profit
- $451.24
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410.36
- Potential profit
- $410.36
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.91
- Potential profit
- $396.91
- User PnL
- -$200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.68
- Potential profit
- $316.68
- User PnL
- -$239.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$91
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.51
- Potential profit
- $102.51
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.62
- Potential profit
- $59.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.92
- Potential profit
- $6.92
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.32
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Luis Díaz: 2+ shotsYes 77.6% 128.9 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.4% 3,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.5% 6,895.14 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 82% 10 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.7% 26,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 20,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 500 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 12,093.77 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 37,658.33 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 1,080 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?Yes 38% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?Yes 33.5% 59.62 shares