Polymarket Trader

sandholewaterfall

0x3d6a3f9ddff78b1b936db16d83409c06c17d45e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.56K
Realized PnL: $2.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$14.99

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. Athletics

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $3.04K
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $13.72
User PnL: $35.06

Yes position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$74.8

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$54.92

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $915.4
Potential profit: $915.4
User PnL: -$34.78

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $717.65
Potential profit: $717.65
User PnL: -$610

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $692.98
Potential profit: $692.98
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $533.53
Potential profit: $533.53
User PnL: -$32.95

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $531.25
Potential profit: $531.25
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.34
Potential profit: $526.34
User PnL: -$64.82

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $488.27
Potential profit: $488.27
User PnL: -$77.88

Yes position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $155.43
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $279.35
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $55.44

Boston Red Sox position

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $368.52
Potential payout: $368.7
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.94
Potential profit: $352.94
User PnL: -$120

No position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.03
Potential profit: $319.03
User PnL: -$43.94

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.22
Potential profit: $251.22
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.37
Potential profit: $235.37
User PnL: -$32.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$30.8

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.64
Potential profit: $213.64
User PnL: -$95.64

Yes position

Will FC København win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.06
Potential profit: $211.06
User PnL: -$32.95

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$138

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $702.77

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.33

Yes position

Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.75

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.95

Pelicans position

Bulls vs. Pelicans

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.93

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.68

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.99

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.98

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.29

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Nuggets

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.15

Jaguars position

Jaguars vs. Cardinals

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.67

No position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.48

Yes position

Will FC København vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.34

Nets position

Nets vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Saints

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.88

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.84

Islanders position

Kraken vs. Islanders

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.8

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.98

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. Athletics

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.74

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Nets

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.98

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.25

Devils position

Red Wings vs. Devils

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals

Philadelphia Phillies 98.1% 95 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 89% 224.72 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 91% 219.78 shares
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

Minnesota Twins 98% 3,048.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 97% 5.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Up 96% 5.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Up 98% 5.1 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 120 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Down 96% 5.21 shares
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

Pittsburgh Pirates 99.3% 800 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 96% 5.21 shares