Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x3D70bf1DFA8C65D2FB4d186767E7b9b1250a2471-1770345505481
0x3d70bf1dfa8c65d2fb4d186767e7b9b1250a2471
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25
- Realized PnL
- $263.28
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump say "Big" or "Biggest" or "Bigly" 10+ times during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $795.25
- Potential profit
- $795.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $573.88
- Potential profit
- $573.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Hong Kong record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.98
- Potential profit
- $500.98
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $418.98
- Potential profit
- $418.98
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408.56
- Potential profit
- $408.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iceland record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $372.93
- Potential profit
- $372.93
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Iceland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $325
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.99
- Potential profit
- $314.99
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.38
- Potential profit
- $314.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.25
No position
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: February
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No 1.9% 52.01 shares
- Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 65% 1.54 shares
- Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will anyone say "Rick" 10+ times during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 80% 3.75 shares
- Will anyone say "Morty" 10+ times during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 79% 3.8 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 33% 6.06 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Jesus" this week?Yes 21% 9.52 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Yes 1.1% 91.14 shares
- Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
- Will South Korea reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares