Polymarket Trader

TonyEsse

0x3d7e6e9e5929e6aa8c66fa8b1f342af3848c6be6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $6.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$74.17

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$213

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$400.99

Yes position

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$661.74

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$19.12

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$8.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$113

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $949.99
Potential profit: $949.99
User PnL: -$505.64

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $887.53
Potential profit: $887.53
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.91

Over position

Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.77

Yes position

Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.77

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.25

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.89

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.61

Over position

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.93

Yes position

Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241

No position

Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224

No position

Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.68

Under position

Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.12

Yes position

Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.95

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

Yes position

Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.82

Under position

Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.62

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157

Yes position

Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.82

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.83

Yes position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.12

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.29

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Under 64.2% 65.38 shares
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Up 97% 54.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Up 46.2% 54.17 shares
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Yes 44% 45.45 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

No 0.1% 10,000 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Under 56% 178.57 shares
Kurds declare independence from Iran?

No 99.6% 123.82 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.6% 147.27 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5

Over 33% 9 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Over 70% 285.71 shares