Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $545.83
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Polymarket Trader
LSPECTRE
0x3d92d13dc5a78a90ed6027e0fab404526a4c9748
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $512.69
- Realized PnL
- $195.85
- Win rate
- 17.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $417.31
- Potential profit
- $416.68
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.37
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $38.45
- Potential payout
- $404.76
- Potential profit
- $366.31
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$46.55
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $82.85
- Potential payout
- $401.2
- Potential profit
- $318.35
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $15.85
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $269.35
- Potential profit
- $260.06
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$93.01
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $207.5
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.17
- Potential profit
- $204.17
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $171.91
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $40.58
- Potential payout
- $165.29
- Potential profit
- $124.71
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $23.96
- Potential payout
- $164.65
- Potential profit
- $140.69
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $34.1
- Potential payout
- $163.57
- Potential profit
- $129.46
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $19.46
- Potential payout
- $155.04
- Potential profit
- $135.58
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $151.97
- Potential profit
- $140.57
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$25.35
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.3
- Potential profit
- $144.3
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $77.92
- Potential payout
- $137.93
- Potential profit
- $60.01
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.08
- Potential profit
- $132.08
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $73.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $51.88
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $70.61
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $54.39
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Over position
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.39
- Potential profit
- $95.39
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $94.42
- Potential profit
- $93.61
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$49.2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.23
- Potential profit
- $90.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Switzerland position
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.41
- Potential profit
- $83.41
- User PnL
- -$49.21
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.61
- Potential profit
- $77.61
- User PnL
- -$52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $188.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.67
Over position
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
Sean OMalley position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Henry Searle position
Dublin: Henry Searle vs Alexis Galarneau
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Toronto Tempo position
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Under position
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Seattle Storm position
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Diego Lopes position
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 6% 455.87 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14.6% 68.49 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.5% 181.82 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.6% 217.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium 41% 48.78 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 48.3% 51.73 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 87.4% 307.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp 51.2% 195.27 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 114.75 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No 40% 175 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 51.2% 39.05 shares