Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $25.8
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Polymarket Trader
dfg586
0x3d986c82c0c43a439df4ec04734e439fbc52e98b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.8
- Realized PnL
- $2.03K
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Predators position
Ducks vs. Predators
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Pelicans position
Magic vs. Pelicans
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.81
- Potential profit
- $9.81
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Raptors position
Pistons vs. Raptors
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.2% 50 shares
- Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 8 shares
- Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86% 50 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 95.9% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No 95.7% 20 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No 98.9% 29.99 shares
- Ducks vs. PredatorsPredators 52% 20 shares
- Magic vs. PelicansPelicans 36% 9.81 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 80% 1,300 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No 99.6% 26.75 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 93.8% 28.16 shares