Polymarket Trader

0x3daa38e7ce8D22c78bABf38156c4176aCE29df94-1723146985313

0x3daa38e7ce8d22c78babf38156c4176ace29df94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $214.5
Realized PnL: $691.55
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $22.46
Potential payout: $235.14
Potential profit: $212.68
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $14.46

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.5
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.02
Potential profit: $193.02
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $45.88
Potential payout: $72.26
Potential profit: $26.37
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.48

No position

Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $57.59
Potential payout: $62.26
Potential profit: $4.67
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $40.99

No position

Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.72
Potential profit: $58.72
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $42.24
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 53.3%
Current value: $20.64
Potential payout: $38.76
Potential profit: $18.12
Multiplier: 1.88x
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.59
Potential profit: $37.59
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $32.89
Potential profit: $29.44
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $22.04
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.88
Potential profit: $24.88
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $19.26
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.98

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.4

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $16.19

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.39

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.84

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.75

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.35

Canada position

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.1

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.01

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Liberals win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

No position

DeepSeek R2 released before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Pershing Square IPO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Boy position

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Finland position

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 42% 5.01 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 19% 20 shares
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 8.5% 58.72 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 26% 76.92 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.2% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 51% 40 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 90% 50 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 75% 50 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 65% 100 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 47.17 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.2% 32.89 shares