No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $81.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $258.34
Polymarket Trader
0x3DAD6913DFa5eE1995BA569C6ce89986e75f90A1-1760874735977
0x3dad6913dfa5ee1995ba569c6ce89986e75f90a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.72K
- Realized PnL
- $153.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$533.02
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $353.53
- Potential payout
- $374.11
- Potential profit
- $20.58
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $38.34
No position
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $330
- User PnL
- -$93.4
No position
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.79
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.76
T1 position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Top Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No 4% 20 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes 34.2% 7.3 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 75.3% 16.64 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 59.2% 20 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes 86.3% 7.3 shares
- Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 1.1% 100 shares
- Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 72% 99.88 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 5,634.37 shares
- Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No 0.6% 89.69 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No 20% 62.99 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No 37% 80 shares
- Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No 16% 9.69 shares