Polymarket Trader

0x3DbBfb7a60E954c4ebd8b4A759FB6315c74649A2-1762337428581

0x3dbbfb7a60e954c4ebd8b4a759fb6315c74649a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $290.46
Realized PnL: $2.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $110.38
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $10.38

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $95.63
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $911.03
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$387.57

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $28.45
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $9.47
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $43.16
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$9.47

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $11.57
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.54
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $7.03
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.33
Potential profit: $15.33
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $3.72
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.39

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.44

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.43

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.03

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 103.45 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 19% 52.63 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 68% 147.06 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 68% 132.35 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 27% 35.09 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 1,886.79 shares
Will Trump visit China by June 30?

No 17.5% 1,144.84 shares