Polymarket Trader

cb3454

0x3dc00b5e074db3b0edcab9ab5e64636503345b26

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.38
Realized PnL: -$0.24
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $28.38
Potential payout: $119.26
Potential profit: $90.88
Multiplier: 4.20x
User PnL: $8.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.19
Potential profit: $21.19
User PnL: -$11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.01
Potential profit: $15.01
User PnL: -$10.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.37
Potential profit: $14.37
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 17.3% 28.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 16.6% 90.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 19% 36.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 41.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 33% 36.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 22% 90 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 16% 90 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 98% 6.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 74% 6.76 shares