Polymarket Trader

LeroyNelson

0x3dc270b5ba8871dbb93159c73f0560a171cd7cb6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83
Realized PnL: $217.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $100.04
User PnL: -$16.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.7
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$42.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.7%
Current value: $74.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.3
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $41.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$16.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.71
Potential profit: $91.71
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$36.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.99
Potential profit: $80.99
User PnL: -$28.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.98
Potential profit: $80.98
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.5
Potential profit: $80.5
User PnL: -$27.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.88

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 94°F or higher on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 51% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 33% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 15?

No 99.8% 32.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 4.3% 91.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 9.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 15.8% 38.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 16.4% 61.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 24% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 16.9% 99.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 22?

No 99.9% 23.02 shares