No position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $549.47
- Potential payout
- $562.4
- Potential profit
- $12.94
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $49.47
Polymarket Trader
0x3DC39594d245075e208f37F56Caf11aa28957202-1772718123834
0x3dc39594d245075e208f37f56caf11aa28957202
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $549.47
- Realized PnL
- $737.44
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.04
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.82
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.25
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.13
No position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.68
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.19
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.94
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.87
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will Danielle Martin win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 95% 645.16 shares
- Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes 89.9% 803.72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 86% 239.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 83% 370.37 shares
- Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes 92% 803.73 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?No 88.9% 562.4 shares
- Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes 99.4% 928.15 shares
- Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes 90% 321.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 83.5% 239.59 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 81% 370.37 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No 97.1% 214.85 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?No 84.1% 250 shares