Polymarket Trader

ksardas2015

0x3dd6819fcc697eed79e6ede68f8b1320593e48d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $381.09
Realized PnL: $100.03
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $381.09
Potential payout: $556.33
Potential profit: $175.24
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $194.56

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.79
Potential profit: $162.79
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.63

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.42

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.08

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.48

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.03

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$126.91

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$136.91

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$468

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?

Yes 33.5% 556.33 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35% 1,337.14 shares
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37.9% 646.5 shares
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65% 249.95 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 48% 347 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 347.11 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 21% 142.86 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

No 43% 162.79 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 43% 116.28 shares
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?

Yes 51% 248.84 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Yes 48.8% 260.23 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Yes 63% 260.24 shares