Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $534.36
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Polymarket Trader
AdamP13031988
0x3dd7080dd3038af0b6e5967064b9db6ace154c73
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.69K
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- User PnL
- -$327.28
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $738.78
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $90.35
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$490.57
Yes position
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $763.69
- Potential profit
- $763.69
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$279.5
Yes position
Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.99
- Potential profit
- $540.99
- User PnL
- -$265.87
Yes position
Will the Democratic candidate win Michigan by 4.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.32
- Potential profit
- $406.32
- User PnL
- -$144
Kamala position
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.62
- Potential profit
- $378.62
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$116.75
Yes position
Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.15
- Potential profit
- $46.15
- User PnL
- -$10.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $327.28
Yes position
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.6
Under position
National Anthem O/U 120.5 seconds
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.3
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $259.69
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.67
Under position
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.24
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.83
No position
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.45
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.33
Yes position
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.86
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.59
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$670.78
Yes position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.23K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 85.5% 1,402.74 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 87% 987.6 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 65.4% 2,841.58 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 68.2% 4,694.97 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 54.7% 4,932.79 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 72% 0.01 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 70% 714.29 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 69% 725.14 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 1,515.64 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 95% 526.42 shares
- Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Yes 24.8% 282.2 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 35% 1,025 shares