Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $23.99
- Potential payout
- $127.29
- Potential profit
- $103.29
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- $8.97
Polymarket Trader
0x3de1...4b85
0x3de1e00a62df0c62c0b0bea29eff317165774b85
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.72
- Realized PnL
- $96.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $12.99
- Potential payout
- $109.64
- Potential profit
- $96.64
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Current value
- $17.04
- Potential payout
- $76.24
- Potential profit
- $59.2
- Multiplier
- 4.47x
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Up position
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 27?Yes 44% 4.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 27?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?Yes 99.8% 2.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?Yes 36% 2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?Yes 32% 4.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?Yes 48% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?Yes 99.9% 5.86 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 34% 2.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?Yes 58% 5.86 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 95% 11.31 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 92% 5.21 shares