cledont

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $794.8
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $710
Potential profit: $704.68
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $226.44
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $19.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $180.3
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $15.71
Potential payout: $73.05
Potential profit: $57.34
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$11.8

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.79
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $51.5
Potential profit: $29.36
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $12.15

Yes position

Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $28
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $22
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Implied probability: 46.6%
Current value: $20.02
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $22.98
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $42.17
Potential profit: $42.06
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.19
Potential profit: $10.19
User PnL: -$4.79

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $10.11
User PnL: -$4.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.04
Potential profit: $10.04
User PnL: -$4.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.04
Potential profit: $10.04
User PnL: -$4.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.04
Potential profit: $10.04
User PnL: -$4.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.6

Arkansas Razorbacks position

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.75

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.83

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be 74°F or higher on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 63°F or below on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.43

Over position

Flyers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.92

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET