No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.09
- Potential profit
- $23.09
- User PnL
- -$5.54
Polymarket Trader
Magnolianna
0x3e03c2088c513178d61797c5e582fb6b42c29bd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21
- Realized PnL
- $3.5
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 22.22 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?Yes 99.7% 13.04 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes 87.3% 10.31 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?Yes 18% 11.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No 98.7% 23.3 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.5% 24.84 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.6% 24.84 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 98.3% 23 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 96.6% 23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 99.5% 23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 99% 23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 94.1% 22 shares