Polymarket Trader

Melqui

0x3e0a8847c74b98a0d865e24ae399604ddf67b9cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.53K
Realized PnL: $28.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $516.23
Potential payout: $79.42K
Potential profit: $78.9K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$277.97

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $70.83K
Potential profit: $69.24K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $533.7

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $824.99
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.17K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $824.99
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.17K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $927.5
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $34.07K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $97.51

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $704.99
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.29K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $165

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $28K
Potential profit: $26.89K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $26.13K
Potential profit: $24.39K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$402.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $20.51K
Potential profit: $16.73K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $454.88

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $17.25K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$470

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $18.87K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $16.27K
Potential profit: $14.23K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.86K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $12.78K
Potential payout: $14.61K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.48K

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $10.41K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$281.81

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $805
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.2K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$285

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $7.94K
Potential payout: $8.77K
Potential profit: $832.96
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $567.32

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.22K
Potential payout: $6.13K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $178.91

No position

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $5.45K
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $99.88
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $265.27

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $53.61
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $4.82K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$3.71K

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $825.9
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$510.46

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $235.32
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $355.8

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $209.61
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $90.99

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $2.39K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $14.49
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $4.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $995.97

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $918.19

Yes position

Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $864

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.98

No position

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680.96

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $597.13

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.19

No position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.26

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.71

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $482.58

Under position

Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.14

Over position

Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470

Costa Rica position

Spread: Colombia (-2.5)

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460

Yes position

Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-04-20?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.36

Over position

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

No 0.1% 4,940 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Over 42% 550 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Over 49% 666 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Over 50% 666 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 42% 1,900 shares
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5

Under 70% 1,780.7 shares
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5

Under 57% 280.7 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5

Under 61% 6 shares
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5

Under 55% 1,500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 87% 1,839.44 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 87% 3,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 87.8% 200 shares