Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $446.09
- Potential profit
- $445.87
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.18
Polymarket Trader
Ethansp
0x3e0b3af175746069b7b5576a908c94fdd9630020
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.04
- Realized PnL
- $564.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $399.95
- Potential profit
- $399.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $389.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $252.44
- Potential profit
- $252.32
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$43.37
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.7
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.3
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $18.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $81.55
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.35
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.05
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.9
- Potential profit
- $99.9
- User PnL
- -$27.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.08
- Potential profit
- $94.08
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.06
- Potential profit
- $29.06
- User PnL
- -$7.85
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C or higher on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?Yes 23% 44.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?Yes 16% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?Yes 16% 158.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?Yes 5.2% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?Yes 40.6% 99.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?Yes 30% 10.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?Yes 8% 43.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?Yes 1% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?Yes 2% 96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on June 19?Yes 0.6% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 18?Yes 5% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?Yes 4.9% 51.17 shares