No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $45.49
- Potential profit
- $43.15
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$27.67
Polymarket Trader
TheTermin4t00r
0x3e0e8af4b46064cc39abb7dfe3418950c5858110
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $205.62
- Realized PnL
- $1.7
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $26.21
- Potential payout
- $44.8
- Potential profit
- $18.59
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $12.79
- Potential payout
- $29.4
- Potential profit
- $16.61
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $13.3
- Potential payout
- $28.3
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $13.8
- Potential payout
- $26.8
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $26.8
- Potential profit
- $14.87
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $15.88
- Potential payout
- $25.4
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $15.01
- Potential payout
- $24.6
- Potential profit
- $9.59
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $15.13
- Potential payout
- $24.6
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $15.13
- Potential payout
- $24.2
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $15.09
- Potential payout
- $23.4
- Potential profit
- $8.31
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $16.05
- Potential payout
- $23.1
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.7
- Potential profit
- $22.7
- User PnL
- -$14.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $16.85
- Potential payout
- $20.3
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $14.73
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?No 61% 24.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?No 59% 6.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?No 66% 22.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?No 74.4% 20.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?No 67% 22.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 2?No 49% 2.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 3?No 56% 26.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 3?No 79% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 3?No 62% 24.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 3?No 53% 28.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?No 65% 23.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?No 80.1% 18.8 shares