Polymarket Trader

0x3e214C4eABf8A5c27c77C9475cc7be549a90B503-1735524813814

0x3e214c4eabf8a5c27c77c9475cc7be549a90b503

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.09
Realized PnL: $133.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.54
Potential profit: $23.54
User PnL: -$4.41

No position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.32
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 4.47x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $3.94
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77
Potential profit: $1.77
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.61

No position

Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.1

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will 'King of Kings' make between $15-18m on its domestic opening weekend?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.43

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Kristin Cabot out as Astronomer CPO in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will Kathy Bates win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will 'Bring Her Back' gross more than $6.5m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $1.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No 26% 3.85 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Yes 4.5% 44.07 shares
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?

No 12% 8.33 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 98.9% 3.94 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 67% 5.97 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Yes 62% 1.77 shares
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

No 11.9% 9.15 shares
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

No 14.5% 8.83 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 22% 3.36 shares
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

No 17% 10.82 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 26% 3.39 shares