No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $165
Polymarket Trader
kevin-airdrop
@kevin_airdrop
0x3e27b4fc18d61173110f6edb21e107bc34819890
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.15K
- Realized PnL
- $38.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $769.17
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$822.71
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $305
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $489.99
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- $58.5
No position
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$933.73
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $65.41
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $18.21
No position
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$128.9
No position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$941.38
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $739.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $260.5
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $593.5
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $992.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $112.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $961.52
- Potential profit
- $961.52
- User PnL
- -$933.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.75
- Potential profit
- $909.75
- User PnL
- -$815.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $822.21
- Potential profit
- $822.21
- User PnL
- -$764.42
No position
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $669.5
- Potential payout
- $801.8
- Potential profit
- $132.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$71.17
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $17.12
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $782.87
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660.07
- Potential profit
- $660.07
- User PnL
- -$5.94
No position
Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$591
Yes position
Elsa FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.83
- Potential profit
- $558.83
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $536.78
- Potential profit
- $536.78
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $518.27
- Potential profit
- $518.27
- User PnL
- -$414.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $943.5
No position
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.07
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.38
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.73
No position
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.88
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.86
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.9
No position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 95.6% 1,625.03 shares
- Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?No 99.2% 800 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 99.5% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 28% 400 shares
- Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 40% 191.55 shares
- Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?No 96% 242.42 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?No 95% 458.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k 7% 99.99 shares
- Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 88% 100 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 1,305.1 shares
- Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?No 96.1% 800 shares
- Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?No 95.7% 791.83 shares