Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $628.62
- Potential payout
- $9.67K
- Potential profit
- $9.04K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
Polymarket Trader
LIONANDSUN
0x3e54d62985c60a4fea52a713f171da8bc9c16740
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $628.62
- Realized PnL
- $1.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $724.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 12.1% 379.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown 50% 32.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown 76% 32.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 24% 13.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 38% 13.16 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 3.5% 1,638.29 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 16% 42.31 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 16% 14.73 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 17% 1,638.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown 72.2% 389.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown 64% 384.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp 64.7% 395.99 shares