Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.68K
- Potential profit
- $100.68K
- User PnL
- -$100.78
Polymarket Trader
Clown
0x3e570d48256db7c1d3066fe7804485bd6cf084a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.3K
- Realized PnL
- $424.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.45K
- Potential profit
- $63.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.45K
- Potential profit
- $63.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.45K
- Potential profit
- $63.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.45K
- Potential profit
- $63.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.45K
- Potential profit
- $63.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.45K
- Potential profit
- $63.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$88
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $165.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.59
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- User PnL
- $98.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- $44.34
No position
Megaquake by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$910
No position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $875
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $125
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $776.76
- Potential payout
- $897.99
- Potential profit
- $121.23
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$13.47
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $380
- User PnL
- -$14.76
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $297.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- User PnL
- $18.45
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$234.93
Yes position
BTC above $28,000 at end of August?
Ends Aug 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $225
- User PnL
- -$25.62
Yes position
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8?
Ends Sep 8, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.65
- Potential profit
- $207.65
- User PnL
- -$21.14
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $159.85
- Potential payout
- $171.88
- Potential profit
- $12.03
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $118.97
- Potential payout
- $119.63
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- User PnL
- $6.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.12K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.26K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.61K
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.85
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $322.3
No position
US national Solana reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.08
Yes position
Will Erdoฤan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.87
No position
Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.28
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187
No position
US forces in Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.46
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.04
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.57
No position
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.27
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $135.22
No position
Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.61
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.24
No position
US military action against Iran by Thursday?
Ends Jun 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.64
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $110.72
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.12
No position
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.79
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No 88% 897.99 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?No 93% 171.88 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No 84% 500 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No 84% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 83.2% 84.74 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.4% 300 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 82% 400 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 94% 3,145.48 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99% 2,704.32 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 93% 300 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 88% 300 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 90.2% 300 shares