Polymarket Trader

valmier

0x3e6efd062a33c3373af08a577dfb7571d97b99ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.5K
Realized PnL: $7.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $443.93
Potential profit: $442.15
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$5.16

Yes position

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $137.62
Potential payout: $443.93
Potential profit: $306.31
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $130.68

Yes position

Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $443.93
Potential profit: $437.49
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $443.93
Potential profit: $437.05
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $33.29
Potential payout: $443.93
Potential profit: $410.64
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $26.36

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $443.93
Potential profit: $437.05
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $443.93
Potential profit: $434.43
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $237.5
Potential payout: $443.93
Potential profit: $206.43
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $230.57

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $360.2
Potential profit: $356.06
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.49

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $200.26
Potential payout: $237
Potential profit: $36.74
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $178.38
Potential payout: $197.1
Potential profit: $18.72
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $168.23

Yes position

Will Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $197.1
Potential profit: $190.12
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $146.15
Potential payout: $167.99
Potential profit: $21.84
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$3.36

No position

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $124.29
Potential payout: $157.33
Potential profit: $33.04
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $113
Potential payout: $124.86
Potential profit: $11.86
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $110.93
Potential payout: $121.9
Potential profit: $10.97
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mike Ruoho be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $96.2
Potential profit: $96.06
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $76.98
Potential payout: $91.1
Potential profit: $14.12
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $5.01

No position

Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $67.65
Potential payout: $81.02
Potential profit: $13.37
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $31.98
Potential payout: $32.58
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elana Meyers Taylor (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - Women's Monobob at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750

Yes position

Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $694.56

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $526.46

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.6

Yes position

Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.41

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.88

Luciano Darderi position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.47

No position

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $270.31

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.76

Yes position

Will "The Girl in the Bubble - Wicked: For Good" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $177.41

No position

Fed rate cut by October meeting?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $171.75

Yes position

Will Mathilde Gremaud (SUI) win the gold medal for Ski Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.52

Yes position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.9

No position

UFC Fight Night: Will Borralho win by decision?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.3

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124

UNO MILLE position

Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs Crashers (+1.5)

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

Yes position

Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.14

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.63

Yes position

Will "No Place Like Home - Wicked: For Good" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.91

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.45

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 95% 22.45 shares
Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?

No 96% 45.5 shares
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Yes 84.8% 40.42 shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 98.1% 84.86 shares
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

No 75% 7.01 shares
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 122.2 shares
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?

No 5.1% 157.1 shares
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Yes 0.6% 443.93 shares
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Yes 82.5% 30 shares
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 50% 235.48 shares
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

Yes 35% 64.7 shares
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

Yes 90.1% 30 shares